Wednesday, July 15, 2009

Daily California Watch 7

Federal oversight? Trading sandboxes in my opinion. [Financial Times]

Welfare queens may suffer. [NPR]

Magic budget tricks. [SJ Mercury News]

Movie title suggestions. I would have picked "Red Heat." [bizjournals]

Sucks to be dependent on a dysfunctional State. [Reuters]

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Tuesday, July 14, 2009

Riverpark Parked

HT to "w" but face it, we all saw this one coming years ago.
Economy delays RiverPark retail center in Oxnard

Ventura County Star reports:
Work on The Collection — which will include a 50,000-square-foot Whole Foods Market, a 16-screen Century Theatres cineplex and an REI store — has slowed, reflecting the pace of the economy as a whole, said Colm Makem, president of Shea Properties, the developer.

“We’ve moved the opening to the fall of 2010,” Makem said Monday. “Basically to reflect the slowdown in the economy and that’s why you’re seeing a slowdown in the construction.”

The company, which has other commercial and residential developments in California, Arizona and Colorado, has had to adjust work on those projects as well. The hope is the opening of The Collection will correspond with the upturn in the economy.

“We own a lot of real estate and we’re trying to pace the development with the economy,” Makem said. “Most economic forecasts are showing a turnaround in 2010.”
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Another Oxnard Albatross. Backgrounder from 2003 ArchNewsNow.

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Daily California Watch 6



Selma, a California city with planner generated problems.

Dan Walters actually churns out a readable piece.

Treasury reveals why warrants are not being accepted. [small PDF file]

And finally. While the budget crisis occupies everyone's attention there is a subversive campaign to invent a new crisis; water.
Reservoirs at 20% capacity.

Monday, July 13, 2009

How It Starts

3,500 Vale Workers In Canada Walk Off The Job
Manufacturing.Net - July 13, 2009

SUDBURY, Ontario (AP) -- Thousands of union workers at Vale Inco's nickel mine operations in Ontario are on strike after 85 percent of union members rejected the company's contract offer.

The United Steelworkers union said Monday that all of Vale's Canadian operations have been shut down and the company's nickel inventory will quickly be depleted.

At issue were proposals by Vale to exempt new employees from its benefit pension plan and to reduce a bonus tied to the price of nickel.

Steelworkers Ontario director Wayne Fraser says about 3,500 workers are now on strike.

Vale Inco is the nickel mining and processing division of Brazil's Companhia Vale do Rio Doce.
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Supply disruptions, production slowdowns. Nobody understands why depressions start but they do.

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Ironbark iron will

One of these is not like the other:

Acutually I suspect there are a lot like this. It reads like the entire California bubble. Round trip to 1996?

Property History for 2050 Ironbark Dr:
Date Event Price Appreciation Source
Jul 11, 2009 Price Changed $259,000 -- VCRDS #90011584
Jul 10, 2009 Listed $299,000 -- VCRDS #90011584
Apr 03, 2008 Sold $360,000 -35.3%/yr Public Records
Mar 22, 2008 Delisted
Jan 17, 2008 Price Changed
Dec 12, 2007 Price Changed
Nov 08, 2007 Price Changed
Oct 07, 2007 Price Changed
Sep 09, 2007 Listed
Jul 16, 2007 Sold $491,807 -13.6%/yr Public Records
Jul 09, 2007 Delisted
Mar 09, 2007 Delisted
Mar 09, 2007 Price Changed
Jan 01, 2007 Listed
Jan 01, 2007 Listed
Jan 24, 2006 Sold $610,000 67.8%/yr Public Records
Feb 12, 2002 Sold $79,000 -12.5%/yr Public Records
Oct 16, 1996 Sold $161,000 -- Public Records
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Like sands in an hourglass, so are the days of our lives.

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Daily California Watch 5



Monterey doing it right.
Environazis continue oblivious.
Tax increases are now classified as closing loopholes.
AARP has a new way to say; tax somebody else.
SFChron presumes to speak for the Republicans.
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Pay no attention to the bloviation out of Sacramento. The North Vietnamese and US are still discussing the shape of the table.

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The Check Is in The Mail

"Pending Sales" == "The check is in the mail." When Realtors® start paying income taxes on their pendings rather than their closings I'll start paying attention to pendings. - Posted by: Rob Dawg | Jun 9, 2008 11:28:22 AM (on The Big Picture)

Good to see the WSJ is on the job:
The National Association of Realtors is trumpeting a fourth consecutive monthly gain in their report of pending home sales. The index tracks the number of contracts signed on homes, which increased in May by just 0.1% from the previous month. Pending sales are up 6.7% from a year ago.

In the past those contracts would give a pretty good indication of what existing home sales would look like when the NAR reports its May numbers a few weeks later. These days the report’s reliability as an indicator is shakier. More pending sales appear to be falling through, as financing becomes harder to reach or as buyers and sellers renege on pricing.

In April, for example, contracts signed on homes rose 6.7% from the previous month, but existing home sales in May—when a lot of those contracts should have closed and been reported—increased by just 2.4%. Indeed, for nearly a year, the pending home-sales index appears to be over-predicting closed sales relative to historical levels, notes independent housing economist Thomas Lawler.
[emphasis added]

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Sunday, July 12, 2009

Daily California Watch 4

Update: Bumped back to top post because of new news.

SacBee blogs:
Not once in the two decades since California's Proposition 98 school-funding formula became law have lawmakers bucked education groups to suspend it – so Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger's push to do so has rocked the Capitol.
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Socialists blame Arnold.

Arnold stays proud.

The Candidates bluster.

Wyoming thinks they have problems.

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No Fraud Here


Jun 12, 2009 Listed $ 58,000 -- MRMLS #I09064513
Sep 16, 2008 Sold $142,200 -36.6%/yr Public Records
Jul 27, 2006 Sold $377,500 51.6%/yr Public Records
Sep 18, 2003 Sold $115,000 17.7%/yr Public Records
Mar 17, 2000 Sold $65,000 -24.2%/yr Public Records
Oct 23, 1998 Sold $95,860 3.0%/yr Public Records
Aug 28, 1996 Sold $90,000 >1,000%/yr Public Records
May 15, 1996 Sold $45,000 >1,000%/yr Public Records
May 08, 1996 Sold $39,000 -70.4%/yr Public Records
Oct 10, 1995 Sold $78,773 -- Public Records

Refin listing here.

I mean come on. July 2006, $377,500? A worn out 1924 construction in a run down part of San Berdoo?