Housing Bubble, credit bubble, public planning, land use, zoning and transportation in the exurban environment. Specific criticism of smart growth, neotradtional, forms based, new urbanism and other top down planner schemes to increase urban extent and density. Ventura County, California specific examples.
Wednesday, June 21, 2017
Tesla has an Antecedent
Long time readers know I have good instincts for when something is wrong. They also know I really want historical parallels to bolster my suspicions. Tesla bothers me and I finally remembered why. Chrysler and the convertible. Convertibles had disappeared for a generation due to a great number of reasons. Chrysler took a chance and a mediocre car with a horrible cloth top became an instant success. There was so much pent up demand that even a clunker sold. That's what we have with the Model 3. Sales projections are being based on preorders. Pentagon up demand for feel good eco transportation. The automobile portion of Tesla is likely to suffer the same fate as Chrysler.
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72 comments:
Pentagon up demand? Spell check gets the Dawg.
Poor hub has a stomach virus.
We ate all 3 meals at home, for once, and I'm all right.
Pent up demand.
Sympathies for hubs.
First breakfasts in Moab. Cute town near Arches.
I eagerly await the unemployment claims report, due out at 8:30.
Market Watch sez that Biotechnology and Financialnay keep the bulls live until 2018 or 2019 .. I agree. But then we are toast. . In my opinion.
It would have been a disaster if Ossoff had won. Everyone would be saying it takes millions to win. Better this way.
Certainly no later than that. The Tech rotation was mild and interesting. Until Amgen stock starts acting like Tesla stock there is upside room.
Oooo--Oooo
It's up a bit
Amgen being a symbol,.an omen?
Just a stock I follow because it is local. Should have invested. Have no position.
Maybe deliberate... Tesla might be the work of the π
π
Now they are going do the tax overhaul in private. No lower level Republican Congesspersons alowed. Some, at least, are annoyed. We are truly an oligarchy.
And maybe the framers intended that. They were really worried about "leveling". And universal manhood suffrage. Dreadful. (No women n or blacks allowed.)
Now Trump us proposing to build a solar wall, which will generate electricity and thus reduce the expense. . . . . . For. . .. . Wait for it. . ..
.
Mexico!!!!
Hahahahahaha.
I just Found blog Called Mc Mansion Hell, which bears checking out.
I thought it was only property owners
I dunno... Which bears are checking it out? Stupid autocorrect tried to change bears to breasts and checking to cutting...
People heard Trump wrong. He said "electrify" which doesn't mean the same thing.
Still snow in the mountains above Salt Lake City.
At one point
Either way, it's stupid.
I miss Mike.
Almost a week in Denver and burbs, no sign of a TESLA, except in the showroom. Did see a Volt and there seams to be a lack of Prius on the road. America needed that K car with fake wood side and rag top. Pent up demand comes and goes.
Highlight today was a tour of the Furniture Row racing facility. Wow! The bucks spent just on body jigs is amazing. I felt like an acolohic at nickel beer night. No pictures except in the trophy room. Funny thing is I got two offers to crew chief this week.
Topped it off with dinner a Magianno's, Filet on asparagus, mushroom risotto. Finished with a slice of nine layer cake.
I've never seen a Tesla.
Is everyone on vacation.
Has everyone got tired of discussing Trump. I am.
I miss the former denizens of hcn.
The pence family has adopted a new kitten and puppy.
Yawn
PHoenix airlines can't take off.
Good morning.π.
I am bored.
Wakey wakey easy coasters.
Morning Liz
Space X is launching about 2 today. They ate leasing more land to build an additional building. That's what billionaires are for. Nimbys will prolly oppsose any new houses being built for the engineers to live in.
Good Morning!
From hot to cold and rain.
There is a TESLA with county plates back home. Seriously by now I would expect to see more electric cars running around a big city.
What is there to discuss about Trump? Repubs didn't want him and the dems are burning themselves down to fight him equals gridlock as I expected. Comey dog and pony show is over, Russia thing is about worn out, Obummer disrupters are being weeded out. He has to work with the swamp he has not the one he wants.
I wish more folks would start posting.
I see Tesla's a fair amount around here, from the METRA parking lot in Northbrook (very upscale neighborhood), to my lowly far north 'burbs. Can't understand the practicality of owning a $100K car that barely goes 300 miles. I frequently take trips to visit the kids down south and put 850 miles under my belt in a day. Give me a used small SUV (I have a 2007 CR-V) for around $15K and I'll pocket the change.
Not too bad weather wise here, of course the shootings continue -
"Teen boys among 13 wounded in city shootings"
And there is always the dysfunctional legislature -
"Day Two of the Illinois General Assembly's special session wound down Thursday without passage of a state budget. Surprised?"
Not surprised, no one gets reelected taking back the free cookies. More taxes, fees and creative accounting may buy more time. Maybe?
My Mazda only goes about 430 on a tank. Of course, it only takes about 5 minutes to refill...
Which is more expensive? A car payment or your monthly fuel bill?
Are
Me too.
No.
No
Got no car payment.
Fuel bill low.
Not feeling good today. Too much housework yesterday, together with cooking 3 meals. Wish Jo would.post. I'd like to hear about the Phoenix heat, and Outsider's bees.
My plants are starting to attract Polina tors and bees. Unfortunatelt, it's the time of year I say the hell with it. Heat and mosquitoes.
Cal Risk keeps saying the distressing gap is gonna close, but it never does.
House up another hundred.
The hub just Trump an asshole, which he has never done before. For driving a golf court over a putting green!!
Called
It took that for him to say he was rude and crude.
Hub expects something else??
Just saw another launch. Still burning to get the satellite in orbit.
First stage landed on the drone ship successfully.
Hey, why should I post if nobody else does?
Hot here. Consecutive over 100 degree days. Luckily it cools at nite, but not until late. Running the cooler...keeps it at 75 inside. My black cat disappeared...he was my buddy. Drove 60 miles into nearest town to pick up two black kittens. They are playing already. Otherwise I could have gone into a deep depression.
New abnormal
Ya... To bad the Reddit crowd and the ExUrb crowd can't get together...
Come to Chilly Floridah where it almost never gets over the low 90s and is mostly in the mid to high 80s.
Glad you have happy kittehs.
Because you like to post?
I have to believe the hits on the Calculated Risk web page are down since the comment section was eliminated.
Rocket launches are cool. Saw an STS night time launch late 1997/early 1998. Was working for DEC then and we had a contract to support the Payload Data Management System.
Mid 70s at night
I sometimes don't bother to read it.
I may have seen 50.
My tuxedo kitty is about 15, and her only side of aging is she has lost her eyebrow whiskers
I haven not read CR I months. Nothing new just updates. Sitting I a Sams Club food court. Weeeee!
Nice of you to stop by...
Finished up the day with two Smart car sightings. :)
Good night all
Good morning.π hope I feel like pulling weeds. Worked on my UU speech for the 9th.
Good morning!
No dogs and sleeping late is nice. :)
Saw a nat gas station but not open to the public. Progress for who?
Evicted a back yard turtle.
Zinnias blooming.
Healthcare costs look too be about 10% of GDP. If we reduce them by 20%, that would be a 2% hit to GDP, and would put us into recession territory.
Also posted on Reddit
Cinco-X,
Denninger stated exactly that when laying out his plan.
TPTB won't make truly major changes because this Jenga economy's already teetering and they don't want it coming down on them. Notice how quickly Trump's turned into a defender of the status quo? Amazing 180 on so many fronts (but still better than Hillary).
At present I'm just happy that none of DC types can seem to find their own asses with two hands and a flashlight, meaning they won't do even MORE damage and the system can collapse of it's own weight.
How many agin it now? 5?
ROBERT,
Ever get down the Diamond District? I started buying nice trinkets there for my lady way back in the late 80's, when it was packed to the gills with independent dealers. It's been in a steady decline ever since, probably down by ~70% over those 30 years.
Interested to hear your perspective on that.
House up 150$.
Good morning.π.
I see.why they call mitch Mcconnell a turtle. He would not be welcome to burrow under any of my rose bushes.
Morning all...
http://www.nationalreview.com/article/448850/liberal-elite-privilege-noblesse-oblige
The problem is elite privilege, not white privilege...
Good Morning!
Brunch at the Denver Biscut Co.
Losers always find an excuse. Winners always find an answer. Life is fun and exciting!
https://nationalaffairs.com/publications/detail/envisioning-a-constitutional-restoration
*Neither party, at this point, is asking the basic questions that will be required to recover our proper constitutional balance. Rather than asking only what policies should be pursued, we should inquire also what type of country we will become and whose principles will dominate it through majority rule. Rather than a commanding president and a managerial Congress, we need a debate over what Kendall called the "destiny and perfection of America and of mankind." And this, he added, ultimately amounts to a contest "between American conservatives and American liberalism" at its deepest level.*
Too much fun to post much. But new post yo discuss how we've ruined the very best thing about America.
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