Monday, March 05, 2018

Peak Transit?

Greater Los Angeles has been disinvesting in roads whilst massively investing in transit for decades.  Now we are seeing the long cycle failure of that policy.  Look at the Metro ridership data:

Down, down, down.  This in a period of economic cycle that traditionally sees rising transit usage.  And yes, Uber is cutting into ridership.  There is no upside except for the inevitable overspending for the 2028 Olympics. 

71 comments:

Encinitas Undercover said...

How do Global Warmists feel about giving driver's licenses to illegal aliens?

Rob Dawg said...

It was settled a long time ago when the Sierra Klub refused to discuss immigration as part of their overpopulation ruining California position.

Rob Dawg said...

https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-018-02773-w

I’ve been on this for a dozen years. Back then I predicted it. If RTSC is nigh the world is about to change profoundly.

Lawyerliz said...

Illogical. Illogical

Rob Dawg said...

The entire progressive agenda is illogical. Too many people yet they enable mass immigration. Nature for mankind but limit access to the wealthy. Push people into cities yet oppose the farming and infrastructure that makes that possible.

Good morning. It’s early but I fell asleep early so my internal clock is out of sync.

Lawyerliz said...

Not early to me. Anything interesting on Reddit? Is Mary still on there?

LBD said...

Good Morning!

Windy day again, 45-55 mph.

Kali needs to import more poverty to fill those empty seats. Self destruction is ugly.

Rob Dawg said...

Yuan has changed names and us back ruining every topic. Best to stay away until he implodes.

I see Cinco is about to get Nor’easter number two. Luck him.

Lawyerliz said...

LARRY Summers thinks the tariffs are crazy. Talk to us Cinco.

LBD said...

Larry Summers is one of the dunces who created the bank and housing collapse. It's hard to take the medicine when minor corrections should have been handled decades ago.

Firemane said...

I don't get why you say *Push people into cities yet oppose the farming and infrastructure that makes that possible.* as a progressive issue.

IIRC, it was the left that pushed farm subsidies, regulated power and phone (for about 100 years), and worked to PREVENT "market forces" from leaving rural areas to die.

I grew up rural, but it wasn't any liberal or conservative policy that "drove" me to the city. It was straight up economic opportunity. The big divide today is actually not liberal vs. conservative - but urban vs. rural - and NOBODY is doing policy to help rural.

Every single one of Trump's talking points is ultimately more harmful to rural - and ultimately, if ever enacted, just tilts the table even further toward urban.


LBD said...

There is a lot being done. Mostly harmful to urban and rural. Technology drove people from farms to urban. No future in farm labor but business in urban ares offer advancement or business opportunity for yourself. The same abuse of the welfare system I think is equal for both. Rural areas would implode faster and be more visible on the small scale then in the city. IMO

Cinco-X said...

Looking at a really big snowstorm tomorrow... Really big. It's yuge... Nobody does snowstorms bigger than New England

Cinco-X said...

Exactly... Their prescription for us is different than they're prescription for themselves

Cinco-X said...

Why would the wealthy want to help rural America. It's just another third world country from which they can pilfer resources to support their lifestyles

Lawyerliz said...

And one behind that?πŸŽΏπŸ‚

Rob Dawg said...

Another boring few days of sunny and 75/50.

Cinco-X said...

Meh... We need the moisture

TJandTheBear said...

Relax, Robert! The Brown Bullet will fix everything. :-)

Lawyerliz said...

Going over to a writer's convention in Tampa

LBD said...

Good Morning!

What can Brown do to you?

Lawyerliz said...

To me, nothing.

Rob Dawg said...

The Brown Bullet is going to suck billions from real federal transportation projects.

LBD said...

This seems the point where is ridership down due to crime and over use by the lower class? Is it the stigma of the "look at me" people don't want to be seen as commoners on public transportation?

Rob Dawg said...

Depends on the mode. There's cachet to taking the commuter train. No shame to use light rail. It is "the bus" that carries a stigma.

LBD said...

I heard the Blue Bus may go away. Hear anything?

Rob Dawg said...

It's been obvious for a long time that LAMTA serving 7 points of the compass surrounding Santa Monica that it was a matter of time before integration would occur.

Cinco-X said...

Snowing quite hard now. Finally...

Rob Dawg said...

I live it when it snows. The mountains in my view get so pretty and the value of my mountain properties increase. Go snow!

Big day planting today. Lots of delicate herbs in hanging baskets now that 40 degree temps are unlikely.

Cinco-X said...

15", and it's still going, though the flakes are small...

Lawyerliz said...

It's old in Tampa 66°.

LBD said...

Good Morning!

Looks like Kali and the DOJ are going to dance!

Rob Dawg said...

I only hope the liberal courts here get the spanking they deserve along the way.

I think the first thing to do is withdraw all Federal LE from Oakland in a very public fashion.

LBD said...

I like the idea and pull the money for Brown's choo choo! Some thing FOX news can't do. LOL!

Rob Dawg said...

Maybe the EPA can shut down the Brown Bullet for not considering the greenhouse gases generated by all the concrete being used.

Lawyerliz said...

Will the unemployment rate go down?
Bets?

Rob Dawg said...

U-3 flat to small decreases. U-6 and youth and minority down more.

Good morning all.

Rob Dawg said...

+311,000. Big number. I’ll go into detail later but really want to see the combination of average hours and wages.

Lawyerliz said...

Time up a smidge.

Lawyerliz said...

Once more I ask, what is full employment for white people? 3.9? 3.8? 3.7?

LBD said...

Hours worked up a tic but over time is up .3 YOY. Not bad, going the right way on the OT.

Caliburger started Flippy the burger cooking robot this week and will put them in all 50 Kali stores soon. Watch out, here they come!

New dog got here head stuck in between the fence and the house. Had to take the fence apart to get her out. More fence work in order. =;0

Lawyerliz said...

Was more imployrd rate same. Why?

Firemane said...

The household survey had an even more dramatic increase in employed than the Establishment survey, +785k. However, unemployed also went UP by $22k.

There's no question this was a stellar jobs report, (both ES and HS show big increases in employed - even larger than ADP, which also beat consensus).

That said, typically when HS gets a labor force spike that large, the next month (or two) end up being flat. The fact U3 and U6 both remained constant suggests this particular month happened to be something of an outlier in volume. It's also month #4 at 4.1 U3, a strong indication that we're at full employment.

I have a theory Full-Employment Contingent Economic Slowdown (FECES) based on the idea that once full employment is reached, recession is imminent, because there simply aren't enough new available job seekers to keep growth going. In the past, there were still untapped women available (but not in labor force), but female participation peaked in 2000.

Despite overall positive economic news, I believe my FECES theory will result in recession arriving at the end of this year. To my knowledge, I am on an island in this belief.

Cinco-X said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Cinco-X said...

Your theory stinks

Cinco-X said...

Well... Totals ended up at school 28" where I am, but overall the outcome was good. It's wasn't that sticky, wet stuff that fell a few miles South and East of us, so minimal broken and downed trees, no power outages, etc. Just another big snowstorm in the North Worcester Hills...

Cinco-X said...

18"...

LBD said...

18" of wet now is nasty business.

RRE seems to be weakening in some areas but also some places where Kali cash is driving RRE up. So a coming recession may be local at this point. We are still in a recession here in Flyover. Please keep flying over and thank you. ;)

Cinco-X said...

Ours wasn't that bad. They had less about depth to the East, but it was REALLY heavy and sticky. Just brutal

dilbert dogbert said...

These plant closings are a perfect example of the disaster that Kalipornikateya has become under Brown!!!
*
http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-nrg-plants-20180309-story.html
*
SAD

LBD said...

Good Morning!

Kali is slow on thinking. They failed to give TESLA more money, failed to raise gas prices to build a recharge station network, outlaw diesels, outlaw fossil fuel transportation in cities. They will never be European. So sad. :(

Unknown said...

Sonoma County is a special part of California.
I just priced a replacement Electric Water heater, with all the parts about $500 ,not bad.
However a local $98 permit is required and it does have to be installed by someone with the appropriate license.
A total of $1,400 was the quote from HD.

LBD said...

Permits for simple installs is robbery. Checking a gas line is stupid as Joe home owner should have a permit to change his BBQ propane tank. The real insult is paying a licensed professional and have the inspection. Government jobs and votes. Electric water heater is usually three or four wires and observe the color codes. IMO.

Lawyerliz said...

You live there. . .Get some teenagers on your side!! Make them take cold showers.

Lawyerliz said...

Am at a literary conference. Hmmmm, ,

LBD said...

HBD dinner with my youngest and family. :)

Lawyerliz said...

Back to MI again
.

Lawyerliz said...

Talk on satisfying Hollywood. The font, the margins the perfect spelling and framma5r, the specific pattern on story arc. They have lots of screens to go though, but many spots on tv to fill, so lots of demand. You could succeed

Lawyerliz said...

Grammar

dilbert dogbert said...

Lizzy,
Did they talk about A Winkle In Time?

Cinco-X said...

Wrinkle, it winkie?

LBD said...

Busy weekend with family and friends. Cool and breezy, warming trend returns this week.

Grammar, spell check!

Lawyerliz said...

No.

Lawyerliz said...

Good morning.

LBD said...

Good Morning!

Time change didn't effect the dogs!

Cinco-X said...

Well... We had a 75° day back in February, and I thought winter was over... Right

Cinco-X said...

Lol... Looks like the coast gets the brunt of this one

Lawyerliz said...

Daughter is getting it again.

LBD said...

Did they name this one Stormy Daniels? :)

Rob Dawg said...

Get comments all. New post. There's a storm a comin'.

Lawyerliz said...

Working on history project. A bit cold here. Trump do anything?