Wednesday, October 22, 2008

Prime Rate INCREASES!


Federal Reserve Board
Release Date: October 22, 2008

For release at 10:00 a.m. EDT
The Federal Reserve Board on Wednesday announced that it will alter the formula used to determine the interest rate paid to depository institutions on excess balances.

Previously, the rate on excess balances had been set as the lowest federal funds rate target established by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) in effect during the reserve maintenance period minus 75 basis points. Under the new formula, the rate on excess balances will be set equal to the lowest FOMC target rate in effect during the reserve maintenance period less 35 basis points. This change will become effective for the maintenance periods beginning Thursday, October 23.

The Board judged that a narrower spread between the target funds rate and the rate on excess balances at this time would help foster trading in the funds market at rates closer to the target rate. The Board will continue to evaluate the appropriate setting of the rate on excess balances in light of evolving market conditions and make further adjustments as needed.


The "Prime Rate" is 3% plus the Fed Funds Rate. By paying the banks more for their undeployed deposits the Fed has managed to give the banks an extra 40bps margin. As long as FFR and Prime are tied lowering the FFR doesn't give the banks any additional margin when lending at prime. Conversely what should happen (but won't) is that "Prime" should narrow to FFR plus 2.5% to give businesses and retail borrowers a break. IMO that would take some pressure off the impairment of HELOCs and lines of credit and thus actually help the banks but what do I know?

5 comments:

Sweet Cashback said...

I liked the beer bottles better!

MURST!

Sweet Cashback said...

First btw. and what would Palin say if she knew that Alaska is in the San Francisco district!

Aaron said...

she'd say it can't be true b/c she can't see SF from her home.

OT. gold touched $720 with the dollar rally. I think she may break under $700 in the coming weeks. I don't think it will go much lower but what do I know. Although inflation won't really rear it's ugly head until next year. gold is looking tempting at these levels.

Rob Dawg said...

Markets are breaking. $67 oil? Sure but in February not October. Gold is two prices. Delivery is getting 10% or more over spot. Paper gold is as you note plummeting.

There goes the stairstep in the Dow.

FeelessBalanceTransfer.com said...

And, it looks like another 50 basis points is coming on December 16:

http://www.wsjprimerate.us/wsjprimerate/2008/10/futures-market-100-certain-fed-will-cut_31.html

Major U.S. banks may rebel by not lowering their Prime Rate -- or by lowering their Prime by 0.25 percentage point if the Fed cuts by 50 -- if the fed funds target drops below 1.00%. If they do, they'll probably say they can't afford the cut; would hurt profits too much. This happened in Canada back in August when the Bank of Canada cut by 50 basis points, and Canadian banks responded with a 25 basis point cut to their Prime Rate.

It'll be fun to watch what happens when the next FOMC meeting is adjourned.