At the Authority's March 2, 2007 board meeting, the transportation and economic consulting firm of Cambridge Systematics (CS) presented new ridership and revenue forecasts for the Authority's proposed high-speed train system. The CS study, which was prepared for the Metropolitan Transportation Commission (MTC), shows the potential ridership of the high-speed train system in the range of 86 million to 117 million passengers per year and annual revenue of between $2.6 billion and $3.9 billion by the year 2030. These projections exceed the previous forecasts in the Authority's 2000 Business Plan which projected up to 68 million passengers annually and up to $1.8 billion in annual revenue by 2020. The new projections represent a 72% - 104% increase in annual ridership and a 110% - 170% increase in annual revenue. For more information please click here: "Ridership and Revenue Forecasting Study".
The only growth has been in the number of puff pieces pushing this red-headed step child. The price is now $45.3 billion and the timetable is pushed out another 9 years and... You get it. Like every non public roads proposal late, underperforming and over budget.
So, let's just ask ourselves what 117million passengers is like. A few assumptions but don't worry, the end result is a disaster beyond comprehension. If only 1/4th of the passengers ever traverse the Bakersfield - LA segment that is 29 million. The trains are likely to hold 300 passengers and run at 80% load factors. 240 people per train 14 trains per hour. Every hour. Every day. 24/7. With one of these sweet rides pulling through LAUS every 9 minutes just how are they going to que up the passengers and load them even with 3-4 dedicated tracks? They cannot and it won't matter because the alomost high speed rail turns into O'Hare the day before Thanksgiving and adds hours to the trip.
The CHSRA is lying. About everything.