A theory. Having bought enough houses and refinanced many times personally it occured to me what might have happened to the "missing" Utah payment. When a new loan is originated there is a delay of one month before payment #1 is due. The wrap was probably structured like this. At the same time young real estate impressario Casey continued along with an existing loan, merely bringing it up to date. That month before the pass through payements started mean nothing to the existing loan. It's a theory. What's yours?
Sunday, May 06, 2007
The Missing Payment - A Theory
A theory. Having bought enough houses and refinanced many times personally it occured to me what might have happened to the "missing" Utah payment. When a new loan is originated there is a delay of one month before payment #1 is due. The wrap was probably structured like this. At the same time young real estate impressario Casey continued along with an existing loan, merely bringing it up to date. That month before the pass through payements started mean nothing to the existing loan. It's a theory. What's yours?
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36 comments:
Bustin on yalls firstness
First!
Mursed!
Not first but I've wondered about that possibility also.
My Theory is that Casey Serin is a Monumental Moron.
I think it's fairly sound.
I still think Casey is a pothead.
LOL... forclosure idiot really does bring IAFF.com to #1.
SWEET!
Stephanie pwned my theory!
My point is that electron mobility in GaAs photodetectors is mostly caused by the sun.
Casey made a payment on a loan??!!!
Casey can't be a pothead. Look at the offices he "works" in. You think a Jamba Juice is going to quell the munchies. If he were a there'd be knee deep Taco Bell wrappers in the v-dubbs.
GaAs receptors are susceptible to many nonphotonic high energy particle false positives. And remember unlike the photons you are looking for you can catch these others from anywhere. If you get a positive reading get your receptors tested and by all means use shielding.
I absolutely no longer care about CaseyFlake. I've lost all interest. My real job needs attention. My real investments need attention. So does my pending marriage.
Who cares????
Casey has not updated since his mini-break (vacation? business trip?) to Tahoe. Something must be going on.....
Did SIL change the locks?
Did Galina file for divorce?
Is Casey sleeping in the car?
Did anyone "sign-up" for his e-mail updates?
Did anyone pay the $10 donation for fast comment moderation?
So EN fans, how do we entertain ourselves now?
Funny:
Over at cornflake's new Casey Haterz site, he attempts to diagnos snowflake.......
cornflake needs to do a self-diagnosis of his own personality disorder, weaknesses and flaws.
This is definitely winding down. I pop in for one second twice a day to see if he's updated. Not surprisingly, after his successful business trip, he's hit the wall again. Probably slept all weekend, secure in the knowledge that many of us have lost too much interest at this juncture to make his life very difficult.
I do have a lot of trouble believing he ever submitted any short sale offers. There was never any proof of this. But perhaps as was pointed out on the thread before, the guy who knowingly screwed the bank, is the guy who's going to be foreclosed on EVEN if the short sale is a better deal for the bank. What the hell do they care at this point? It's woo woo money in the form of losses, and the probably need to some to write against their unruly stock market gains.
Casey can't close a screen door. He can't negotiate out of a wet paper bag. I say we try to come up with what he'll really be doing in the months to come:
He'll enter into several fruitless business relationships with people who want to scam his ass.
He'll make sure G covers making enough to feed them and knowing he's got til june rent covered while he finds the one sweet deal that will pull them out of this mess. Meanwhile, he shuffles papers on ikea desk while seated on the blue ball.
Blog slows down to an aching crawl. If you look at how long it took to come up. I think it'll take equally long for the business end to wind down. That said probably be mid summer. People out of town, vacations with the kids, it isn't winter anymore - some of us get off our asses and do some living. That'll be it.
Casey will have used Corporate money to do some vanity press. When he does his forst 1,000 book run, he'll hire the cheapest flack Sacto has to offer, which will get him some local news coverage "local man child publishes book!" and he'll sell a few copies at the Roseville Barnes & Noble. Then the other palate of boxes will sit in Yulia's garage and collect dust for eternity. Sort of like so many self recorded CD friends and people I've known have done. All those dreams, in shrink-wrap and boxes in garages across America Casey. Welcome to the real world.
Good theory on what might have happened to the missing loan payment.
What I find astonishing is that Casey can't even expend the minor effort necessary to get this done. My personal opinion is that he's already figured out why that payment hasn't been credited, and that the truth is that he still owes the money for the "missing" payment. Of course he's not motiviated to fix the problem if it means he's going to have to do something like make a loan payment.
For pete's sake, the kid's got RESPA, and a slew of other protections to force the mortgage holder to credit his payments properly. Call once (find out what the problem is, demand full accounting of the mortgage account). If not fixed, send certified letter. If still not fixed, start filing regulatory complaints.
It's not exactly rocket science.
Casey seem to own this place now.
Anything else going on?
Pressure at Mortgage Firm Led To Mass Approval of Bad Loans
By David Cho
Washington Post Staff Writer
Monday, May 7, 2007; A01
Maggie Hardiman cringed as she heard the salesmen knocking the sides of desks with a baseball bat as they walked through her office. Bang! Bang!
" 'You cut my [expletive] deal!' " she recalls one man yelling at her. " 'You can't do that.' " Bang! The bat whacked the top of her desk. As an appraiser for a company called New Century Financial, Hardiman was supposed to weed out bad mortgage applications. Most of the mortgage applications Hardiman reviewed had problems, she said.
But "you didn't want to turn away a loan because all hell would break loose," she recounted in interviews. When she did, her bosses often overruled her and found another appraiser to sign off on it.
Hardiman's account is one of several from former employees of New Century that shed fresh light on an unfolding disaster in the mortgage industry, one that could cost as many as 2 million American families their homes and threatens to spill over into the broader economy.
New Century has become the premier example of a group of companies that grew rapidly during the housing boom, selling working-class Americans with questionable credit huge numbers of "subprime" loans with "teaser" rates that typically rose after the first two years. This business transformed the once-tiny New Century into a lending powerhouse that was held up as a model of the mortgage industry's success.
But now, with home values falling and adjustable loan rates rising, record numbers of homeowners are failing to make their payments. And a detailed inquiry into the situation at New Century and other subprime lenders suggests that in the feeding frenzy for housing loans, basic quality controls were ignored in the mortgage business, while the big Wall Street investment banks that backed these firms looked the other way.
New Century, which filed for bankruptcy protection last month, has admitted that it underreported the number of bad loans it made in its financial reports for the first three quarters of 2006. Hardiman and other former employees of New Century interviewed said there was intense pressure from bosses to approve loans, even those with obviously inflated housing appraisals or exaggerated homeowner incomes.
"The stress in that place was ungodly. It was like selling your soul," said Hardiman, who worked for New Century in 2004 and 2005. "There was instant notification to everyone as soon as you rejected a loan. And you dreaded doing it because you paid for it. Two guys would come with a bat, and they were all [ticked] off because you cut their deals."
New Century officials would not publicly respond to the ex-employees' allegations. A senior executive, who spoke on condition of anonymity because of state and federal investigations into the company, acknowledged that the atmosphere in some branches might have been intense at times. But he said the firm had safeguards to make sure workers did not feel pressure to approve questionable loans.
Hearing what Hardiman went through, he said, was "upsetting" and "not representative of our offices."
"In an organization with this size . . . I'm not naive to think that [such behavior] didn't happen," the executive said. "But I find it highly implausible over the last 10 years that something systemic was going on and somehow it was disguised. . . . There were pressures, especially in a declining market, and those pressures became more robust. But we turned up our controls and our vigilance at the very same time."
As Industry Grew, Standards Loosened
Once a little-used lending tool, subprime loans made up 20 percent, or about $600 billion, of all mortgages issued in the country last year. These loans carry a high risk of default because they generally are made to home buyers with questionable credit. But because they require borrowers to pay high interest rates, they have been a gold mine for lenders in recent years, accounting for 30 percent of all profits made in the mortgage business, according to Mercer Oliver Wyman, a consulting firm.
Lenders also made a fortune selling subprime loans to Wall Street. Investment banks charged huge fees for packaging them into massive bonds called mortgage-backed securities. Investors received high returns for buying and selling these bonds.
But there is growing evidence that along this chain, the filters that were supposed to catch bad loans did not work.
Salespeople were supposed to be the "first line of defense" against fraud and bad loans, said Steve Krystofiak, president of the Mortgage Broker Association for Responsible Lending, a group that is trying to retool practices in the industry.
But salespeople worked on commission -- meaning the more loans they sold, the more bonus money they received. "That's a bad business model. It's absolutely contradictory," Krystofiak said, adding that he has witnessed salespeople tweak numbers in mortgage applications to ensure that the loans would be approved.
Automated underwriting software that searches for irregularities and possible fraud was also supposed to stop bad loans. But industry professionals say such programs were easily manipulated. Meanwhile, some appraisers and underwriters, who examine housing values and other claims made on loan applications, say they felt pressure from bosses to let questionable loans through.
New Century and other lenders sold their mortgages through auctions to investment banks. Once a bid was accepted, the investment banks performed their own detailed review and could return any loans deemed questionable without paying for them.
Several investment banks, including Merrill Lynch, Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs said they rigorously examined the subprime mortgages they had bid on. Morgan Stanley, for instance, said it reviewed every loan appraisal and the credit histories of about 25 percent of borrowers.
Traders familiar with the bidding process said competition for mortgages from New Century began to heat up in 2005. Mortgage-backed securities based on New Century loans had been performing better for investors than those from other subprime lenders, in some cases producing two or three times the return of a U.S. Treasury bond. Many banks felt they had to loosen their standards and agree to return fewer bad loans in order to win the auctions, the traders said.
The head of a large Wall Street bank's mortgage group contended that his firm regularly lost out on New Century's business because its due diligence process was stringent and it had been returning a high number of loans. New Century wanted the bank to ease its standards, and the issue became a source of friction between the companies.
"The entire industry, over time, became more lax," he said, speaking on condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to talk about his company's inner workings. "The more [loans] you accepted, the better relationship and the better price you would have. The name of the game was definitely volume."
A New Century spokeswoman said negotiating with banks to reduce both their due diligence and the number of loans they returned was a "generally accepted practice" that was "always a matter of discussion."
There was little downside for banks to push paper through the pipeline, said Kevin Beyers, a forensic accountant at Parkside Associates in Atlanta who specializes in the mortgage industry. Besides returning loans, these firms could require a lender to buy back loans that had cleared the banks' reviews but later turned out to be bad.
"Loose underwriting was not a secret," Beyers said. "[Investment] banks had to have known what was going on. They just have too much information and sophistication at their fingertips. And they knew the lenders pretty well."
Firm Unravels With Market's Slump
To address the problem of bad loans, New Century said since 2000 it has been reducing the compensation of branch managers if they approved loans that were later determined to bad. Underwriters have always been paid on the quality of their work rather than the volume of loans approved. New Century said it always had monitored the performance of employees and last year implemented a statistical program that tracked whether they were approving a high number of bad loans.
A spokeswoman said these moves helped the firm reject or reduce the appraisal value of 20 percent of the loan applications it received in the Northeast last year.
The firm's comments are difficult to square with accounts from rank-and-file workers. These employees worked at five different branches that handled subprime loans all over the country. All except Hardiman spoke on condition of anonymity, citing recent e-mails from the firm telling them not to comment publicly, although the company said that is standard corporate media policy. Hardiman said she was fired for refusing to approve weak loans. Others said they left because they were pressured to pump loans through the system. A few were interviewed while they were worked at New Century but then lost their jobs after the firm filed for bankruptcy.
Although there were variations in their descriptions of the atmosphere in their offices, most said they were pushed to approve questionable loans. Several of the interviewed employees said they faced "unofficial quotas" of loans that had to be approved each day. The pressure to meet these expectations was so unrelenting that a worker in Foxboro, Mass., collapsed from stress and was taken to the hospital, two employees said. In the firm's Long Island branch, the atmosphere resembled a fraternity, largely because the average age was 23, an appraiser there said.
A veteran appraiser who worked in Pearl River, N.Y., said he joined New Century because he had heard the pay was good. That turned out to be true, but he quickly discovered that the place was a pressure cooker. He said he often was encouraged "to make loans work." His boss generally supported him when he wanted to reject a questionable loan, he said. But other office managers "were all about the numbers just so they got their bonuses."
Still, the veteran appraiser didn't blame them.
"They were pressured to make loans, that's how you do business," said the man. "They were trying to do more and more business. That's essentially what Wall Street wanted."
For years, the volume strategy worked.
Shares in the Irvine, Calif., company rose from $5 in early 2001 to $66 at the end of 2004, cementing its status as a Wall Street favorite. Last year it issued $51.6 billion in loans, more than any other specialized subprime mortgage lender.
When times were good, the company showered lavish gifts on its salespeople, treating them to vacations in Europe and Caribbean cruises hosted by sports celebrities. As recently as March, a few weeks before it filed for bankruptcy, the company had a trip to Ireland scheduled, employees said.
The boom continued for New Century until 2006, when mortgage payment default rates spiked. That happened because homeowners who bought houses last year generally saw their values drop. And, in a declining housing market, many homeowners, especially those who are poor, choose to let their mortgages fall into delinquency rather than try to keep up with the payments, analysts said.
At first, it appeared the cumulative effect of these defaults would have only a moderate effect on New Century's earnings. Then, in February, the company said it would need to revise its financial results for the first three quarters of 2006. A few weeks later, it acknowledged that federal investigators had launched probes into the timing of the stock sales of some of its executives. The company declined to comment on the investigations.
The announcements rattled the markets because the firm was so well regarded. The stock price plummeted 90 percent, and the firm was delisted from the New York Stock Exchange. (Shares now trade under a dollar on an obscure exchange.) New Century filed for bankruptcy April 2 but said current customers would be unaffected and could continue making their mortgage payments.
The appraiser in the Pearl River branch said he considered himself a loyal employee and planned to stick by the company through its struggles. But he was fired the day after the bankruptcy filing, along with 3,200 employees, or half the firm's workforce. Most of those interviewed said they were offered two weeks of pay at rates lower than their salary. A few said they did not receive any severance.
New Century announced Thursday that it is laying off 2,000 more associates. The firm is left with about 750 employees, a company spokeswoman said.
Hardiman, the former New Century appraiser, said she was not surprised by the company's downfall. Few at the company seemed to be thinking long-term when she was there. The message she heard constantly from headquarters, which was broadcast at work conferences and in e-mails, was to approve more loans.
"We were constantly told, 'If you look the other way and let an additional three to four loans in a day that would mean millions more in revenue for New Century over the course of the week,' " Hardiman said. She added that it seemed "no one, from the top levels down to the lower levels of the office, didn't want those loans to go through."
The theory is correct. Casey explained in one of his answers or posts that this is why the money is missing. He is banking on the fact that the owners will sell the house and will cover the missing payment.
Hmmm, just posted some mean comments on IAFF "Instant-ly" and then his comment page moved. Mad SKillz again? Update coming?
I almost really don't give a shit at all.
Stephanie S
As Nigel tells it, those people in UT are pretty much screwed. After all the work they put into that house, SLC finally looks poised to follow the rest of the country down the tubes, and if they don't dump it quick, there won't BE any sale to cover said payment.
Has there any been proof that Galina ever got a job? I know she withdrew from her community college, but I don't know if she's working.
I'm guessing no, since they had zero money for rent, although maybe Yulia wouldn't take money from her sister. And I can't believe Galina is dumb enough to give her hard earned money to Casey so he can go to Lake Tahoe.
Is it tradition where Casey comes from that the wife does not work?
Tonya Harding,
Don't you know how to post a link instead of cut and paste the entire article? Ignorant bitch.
Riddle me this....why does Casey have online ads for foreclosure sites, through Google, when he wishes to be a Foreclosure resource, refering individuals to people who can assist them? Yes I understand he can collect the money for click thrus, but like most of his business cents, it is perplexing.
I've been out of commission basically since Snowflake's first post after his pool debacle. Did I miss anything juicy?
A friend of mine (Hi Steve, in case you read this blog) once posted an article about photodetectors to the Journal Of Irreproducible Results. He was trying to use a mechanically operated hammer to smash the wintergreen LifeSavers and measure the amount of triboluminescence that they produced. The data looked perfect, until they did a control that lacked the LifeSaver. Turned out that the mechanical jolt was causing the photodetectors to detect stimulation, and the amount detected increased with the force. They wrote it up and submitted it anyways but the journal refused it on the grounds that the data were too reproducible.
NR
I've just checked IAFF and nothing much is happening. So I looked at the sitemeter and I think traffic has about halved in the last week. Also, there are 805 people signed up to the RSS? feed and I'm sure there were 877 a few days ago. Flailing forward downhill?
This latest comment for 'isamu' reminds me... who is this person? Casey's brother? Nigel? A friend from NR? And the post it is replying to is a fine rant.
Isamu, Casey's explanation of the scam letter was flimsy, but really we don't 'need' any more explanation from Casey because we know the truth. Asking for 10's of thousands to invest in buying properties is NOT the same as asking for 10's of thousands to bail out loser properties, just to bring the 'entrepreneur' back to "0". And, 'guaranteeing' 24% return is outrageous, given what we know now.
For the few that have moments of sympathy, check out Ramits Post, and Casey's response.
Casey's closing paragraph:
"By the way.. out of about a thousand people who received the email I only got one person somewhat interested. I’m surprised more people are not willing to put their money to work at 24%. Maybe because people don’t understand they can be private lenders on real estate. Or they don’t trust me anymore. I don’t blame them. It’s going to take me a long time to win people’s trust back. That’s the consequences to my rash behaviour."
I'm just a rash, crazy idea man!!
"Or they don’t trust me anymore."
Or maybe people just realize that 24% guaranteed returns don't exist. MORON!
Or maybe there just isn't a "greater fool" than CS?
Another Theory, just as sound as my first of last night:
Casey is a Monumental Moron.
It's very similar to my prior theory, except I left his last name out.
24% returns exist but they take "work" and they take "risk" and they certainly don't exist in the current real estate market.
In fact, I looked up the Latin name for people like Casey, and his latin name is:
Caseyus Moronicus.
Species is described as: Parasitic creature related to the sloth. Leaves slime-trail behind it wherever it goes. Spends the majority of its long, useless life, sleeping and eating juiced vegetation.
Dawg,
25% Guaranteed returns don't exist.
IAFF comments still down. Kiss that sweet traffic goodbye...
TK,
Say you are a supplier of sophisticated electronics testing equipment. Some of your customers are red hot but young companies. Perhaps they've IPO'd perhaps not. Either way they cannot afford to be carrying expensive custom capital equipment on their books until the company gets established. Instead they arrange a lease. The leasing company buys these items in bulk for as many customers as they can and negotiates some incredible discounts off retail. They then turn around and lease out at very faorable terms with either a 50% buy out at 3 years or $1 buy out at 4 or something like that short term. The leases are based on prices what the customer could hae gotten not what the leasing agency pays. A closed end lease backed by a marketable (depreciated) asset and the difference is insured. 24% after all expenses is not only common but at the lower end. Guaranteed and but one example of capital equipment leasing arrangements.
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