Chart of the Day is a dandy little tool. Just another emial in the inbox to read or ignore but ssoemtimes a picyure is worth a thousand words. This is REITs v S&P 500 both inflation adjusted on a log scale. That narrow channel is actually 50% wide. I smell a short just like lumber last fall. It is almost too easy. Am I missing something?
Update: Added the following chart.
This time without the log scale and the added consideration of the effect of interest rates.
53 comments:
I tried to resist, but I can't help it. This post seemed lonely.
FIRST!! BOOYAH!!
Rob Dawg,
Why would the DOJ be checking out your site...? We all know they're all over Casey's, but it was news to me to find them on your site meter. They need a few vigilantes to figure out WTF is goin on around here?
I get some interesting IPs. There are a xouple posts from years past discussing Supreme Court decisions and I still get hits from their Administative Offices. I'm pretty sure anybody who linked to IAFF is on a routine sweep review. Wouldn't it be great if they did their job? Maybe even expose a bigger fish in the Res-Com and appraisal scheme(s).
http://uncyclopedia.org/wiki/UnNews:Al-Qaeda_operative_spills_the_beans
Particularly like the quote by the photo of Darth Vadar:
Oceania is at war with Eastasia. Oceania has always been at war with Eastasia
I'm sure HalFuckinBurton and ExxonFuckinMoblie, etc. had nothing to do with any of this sheet. Absolutely not. They've done so much for this country (i.e., fuck it up the ass).
Manufactured sources of fear are just that. MANUFACTURED. Angst - at least in my case – is the fear of what the manufacturers manufacture.
Footnote: Source of current identity is Stephanie J. but is not Stephanie J.
Why is everyone so quiet this evening?
We're all facing foreclosure.
Signed,
No F-ing VICTIM
Why is everyone so quiet this evening?
1. Grey's anatomy
2. CSI
3. Bush/Cheney bashing fatigue
4. Many of today's subjects require deeper than normal replies.
5. ENs 15 minutes of fame are up
Take your pick.
Why is everyone so quiet this evening?
I was watching the series finale of "The O.C." :)
Hey Rob-Dawg
I agree short term this may turn, but it is still within the channel and in an uptrend. Wouldn't it be a safer play to short after it broke support and was in an established down trend?
Rob,
You are missing the fact that market irrationality can exceed one's solvency, not that it is a bad play, just not a bet it all play.
Beans,
Those that care about your keywords do not crawl, they are installed in the telcos and the data centers.
Or go long on the S&P 500?
I've never traded based on technicals, but that's because I used to have access to great info due to my job, friends, associates.
With that said, wouldn't it be a little less risk to see if the NAREIT pops through resistance first? Sure, you may shave a few points of gain, but you could mitigate some of the risk of the NAREIT breaking through.
And to partially answer why I've been so quiet this evening:
1. The Office
2. Scrubs
3. 30 Rock
4. Installing a bomb kitchen faucet (at least it's better than the existing one)
Nothing means a hell of beans...
I meant to add Kombucha to my addictions. Have you ever grown a Kombucha? It is quite a complicated undertaking.
Had so many pure white mushrooms growing and expanding all over the place it got a little out of control so I decided to utilize them as fertilizer, but still feel guilty about my Kombuchas.
Had some XML project many years ago and somehow couldn't parse Ann Coulter's sheet. Anyway, once I later discovered http://anncoulterisacunt.com/ I thought cunt wasn't such a bad word
When properly contextualized.
I only look t otechnicals to see if they are diverging or confirming the fundamentals. This one just struckme as a runaway from th fundamentals. Looks like nothing more than liquidity chasing returns.
hey guys, if I can threadjack for a second, I need some advice.
I'm in a job hunt, and tonight I got an email from one company asking if I'd like to come in for an interview. When I hit this company's website to find out more about who I'd be interviewing with, I discovered that one of the company honchos is someone who literally went to jail for insider trading. How do i know? I used to work with the guy at a company some years back. Not long after I left, the company had a major stock scandal and this guy, plus a few others, pled out and/or went to jail on a range of charges, including conspiracy, stock fraud, and insider trading.
My impulse was to send an email saying that no way in hell do I want to work for a company who employs a felon in a position of such responsibility. However, as good as it might feel to get on a self-righteous rant, it's not my style to burn bridges like that, nor is it a smart career move.
So, I am undecided -- should I go on the interview, or should I simply send a polite thanks but no thanks email?
Sprezzatura,
I'd like to make a suggestion. (re)Read Kierkegaard.
Special post-its on Fear and Trembling and Sickness Unto Death.
Love,
Akubi
Sprezzatura,
It's always good to practice your interviewing skills.
And, who knows, maybe the receptionist will be a hottie.
Peace,
P.S. Go on the interview. It could be interesting.
P.S.S. If they pay airfare, hotel cost, room service, etc. it could be an even more interesting experience.
Sprezzatura,
Go on the interview. But be ready with an answer if someone asks you why you want to work for them given the ex-insider trading head cheese. Was he acquited?
-Big Cheese
To answer the above question (#1)
*I* am the DOJ person Hitting BOTH Casey and Robert. I'm not involved in Mortgage Fraud, or any other crimes he could be committing. Let me know if he tries to vote twice, or something.
Otherwise, I am acting as a concerned citizen, collecting information and sending it onwards to AGs and the FBI just like you all do
Sprezz,
Pretend Mr. Ex con is Casey, then make your decision.
Should be easy.
Sprezz,
Maybe they don't know he's a felon and you can get his job?
I bet you there is some employer out there that doesn't know Casey is a looser.
Hey R-Boy
Thanks for all the work you have done so far. Homey obviously gives you a big thumbs up, and you have been honest around here all the way...yeesh, I'm starting to sound like Nigel! Steph J I think I may need one of your kick back to reality boots to the balls!
Sprezz, take the interview(road trip baby), see if you can talk to this guy, see if he owns up to it or pushes it aside ...ie..he tells you he is failing forward, or yes he did it but he wants to believe he didn't. Obviously if he says those things run!
Hey Rob that chart up there, can't make out the writing...is the blue line your site hits and the green line Casey's over time?
Legion,
Good one. I'm a happy camper, just closed out my gold spreads entirely in the money. Time to go out and kill some REIT indexes.
http://tinyurl.com/ystmtr
SmartMoney on paying yourself a salary from borrowed company funds.
@ 8:44
I think the moral of that article for Casey would be "D'oh!"
Oh wait, that article was obviously written by haters.
summarizing what I know so far.
HELP ME GATHER INFORMATION BY EMAILING ME HERE, ESPECIALLY YOU HOMEY.
caseyserininfo@yahoo.com
Casey Serin
Scams Involved in:
Res-Com
Mortgage Fraud
Corporation Brokers Inc.
Shell Corporation
Ponzi Scheme
AbleBuyer
Finch Properties
Loans Outstanding:
CashCall
To speak to a collections service representative
(Mon-Fri: 8 am - 9 pm Pacific Time, Sat & Sun: 8 am - 5 pm Pacific Time) 1-866-899-1844
To speak to a recovery representative
(Mon-Fri: 8 am - 6 pm Pacific Time) 1-866-899-0944
Wells Fargo
Fraudulent emails and websites:
reportphish@wellsfargo.com
Suspicious online transactions: 1-866-867-5568
2 Promissary Notes
Credit Cards Overdue
Capital One
Investigative Solutions 1-800-955-7070
Citigroup 1-800-374-9700
Mortgage Brokers
First Lincoln
FIRST LINCOLN MORTGAGE CORP
33 WALT WHITMAN ROAD, STE LL2
HUNTINGTON STATION, NY 11746
(516) 355-2444
Countrywide
Countrywide Financial Corporation
Fraud Prevention & Investigation
1757 Tapo Canyon Rd,
SVW-469
Simi Valley, CA 93063
1-877-CUFRAUD (283-7283)
Aurora
Thanks, R-Boy.
I'm glad it wasn't a silent lurker and that there are truly concerned citizens in the DOJ.
Yes, I got my lil' win-weiner caught in the paper shredder, so what? It’s not really a disaster if I choose to not look at it that way. I prefer to see it as a "blowjob." Controlling what I believe is a very important process of becoming successful.
Look, I had pretty good strategy: fix-n-flip. However, I failed in the fixing part. I also failed in the flipping part. Yet, I did pretty well with the -n- part. Controlling what I ignore is a very important process of becoming successful.
Out of my way, haters, I'm failin' through...........
Also, the -n- stands for -nap-
I assume I'm not the only one around her who reads The Mess That Greenspan Made, but just in case - http://themessthatgreenspanmade.blogspot.com/2007/02/regulate-thyself.html
Sprezz, As far as interviewing goes, I was trying to locate something I read a while back http://www.joelonsoftware.com/articles/GuerrillaInterviewing3.html and in re-reading within the Casey context, I can see why he doesn't have a "real" job....
"In principle, it’s simple. You’re looking for people who are
Smart, and
Get things done.
That’s it. That’s all you’re looking for."
For some reason the DoD seems to be interested in this site.
cacia,
I have lots of friends in the military industrial complex. I also mentioned recently several leywords that certainly got flagged. Just like others have said a lot of this is routine or unremarkable.
akubi,
themessthat greenspanmade is on my regular rotation as well. A little tinfoil but worth a read.
OOFA...BADABING!!!!!!! Hey moonbat Serin,these people would like a word with you. Please step away from the keyboard.
Domain Name state.nm.us ? (United States)
IP Address 164.64.47.# (State of New Mexico)
ISP State of New Mexico
Location
Continent : North America
Country : United States (Facts)
State : New Mexico
City : Albuquerque
Domain Name (Unknown)
IP Address 208.27.111.# (US COURTS)
ISP Sprint
Location
Continent : North America
Country : United States (Facts)
State : District of Columbia
City : Washington
Domain Name usdoj.gov ? (United States Government)
IP Address 149.101.1.# (US Dept of Justice)
ISP US Dept of Justice
Location
Continent : North America
Country : United States (Facts)
State : Maryland
City : Potomac
Domain Name (Unknown)
IP Address 63.166.226.# (COUNTRYWIDE HOME LOANS)
ISP Sprint
Location
Continent : North America
Country : United States (Facts)
State : California
City : Simi Valley
omain Name (Unknown)
IP Address 171.161.160.# (Bank of America)
ISP Bank of America
Location
Continent : North America
Country : United States (Facts)
State : California
City : Concord
If there is any God, on monday the National White Collar Crime Center should be visiting IAFF.
I hope so. Otherwise I'll just elevate what I am up to here.
I should know more Monday. I'd do more, but I have two teams at trial that I'm supporting from the home base. Sigh.
Casey said that Amy was no longer the realtor on this house.
http://www.realtor.com/FindHome/HomeListing.asp?snum=1&frm=byctstmlsid&nearbyZp=&lid=60100568&pgnum=1&ss_aywr=&st=CA&mls=xmls&mnbed=0&js=on&mnsqft=0&fid=so&vtsort=&poe=realtor&mnprice=0&ct=North+Highlands&areaid=53215&sid=081A6DFCBBADC&snumxlid=1067386547&lnksrc=00002
Another lie Casey?
Not sure if anyone hear reads the 'Financial Week' but there was an interesting article in this week's edition about the top bankers not sure whether the system is over exposed in the derivatives market.
I have it in hardcopy but you can read it here if you are registered:
http://www.financialweek.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20070219/REG/70219021/1023/OTHERVIEWS
basically it states Ben doesn't want banks tied down by regulation, the NY fed president states banks have no clue how exposed they are, Paulson thinks hedge funds reduce the risk banks are exposed to by purchasing these and the German Finance minister and G-7 are trying to head off the domino effect this could have on the system.
Basically what will happen will make the S&L crisis look like small potatoes. No one is will to admit it though!
@Anon 10:54
With all the hard work, and I bet, bad press that Amy got on that house, I am sure that she FEELS entitled to some compensation, so she is still listing it. A few more 'emails' about her breasts and bangability, maybe a few about blowjob backs on the deal etc.. will soon make it not worth her while. heh
Wow, "Financial Week." This is one wired-in collective. Yes like you, I'm concerned that the hedge/deriviatives/tranching/futures/etc markets are doing to thw world economy what "The Producers" did to Broadway productions.
Thus I call a new thread.
@anonymous at 10:54 am
Casey tried to get Amy to list one of his other houses, she sent him a blow off email saying she was too busy after he posted her pic and called her cute on IAFF.
R-Boy -
Please don't forget the $50k Countrywide promissory note that he signed and now believes he doesn't owe, based on his... not wanting to owe it.
That one really irks me. Has anyone contacted them to let them know he has no intention of paying?
Every time I see that ugly house I get annoyed. How difficult/expensive is it to put in some carpet or laminate floors for f sake? It shows exactly how eager he is to pay back every dirty penny. The juxtaposition of the dilapidated crack house and Amy’s smiling vapid bleached teeth face is so absurd it is almost comical.
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