Housing Bubble, credit bubble, public planning, land use, zoning and transportation in the exurban environment. Specific criticism of smart growth, neotradtional, forms based, new urbanism and other top down planner schemes to increase urban extent and density. Ventura County, California specific examples.
Thursday, February 15, 2007
The Law, Hershey
5236. (a) A corporation shall not make any loan of money or property to or guarantee the obligation of any director or officer, unless approved by the Attorney General; provided, however, that a corporation may advance money to a director or officer of the corporation or of its parent or any subsidiary for expenses reasonably anticipated to be incurred in the performance of the duties of such officer or director, provided that in the absence of such advance, such director or officer would be entitled to be reimbursed for such expenses by such corporation, its parent, or any subsidiary.
(b) The provisions of subdivision (a) do not apply to the payment of premiums in whole or in part by a corporation on a life insurance policy on the life of a director or officer so long as repayment to the corporation of the amount paid by it is secured by the proceeds of the policy and its cash surrender value.
(c) The provisions of subdivision (a) do not apply to a loan of
money to or for the benefit of an officer in circumstances where the loan is necessary, in the judgment of the board, to provide financing for the purchase of the principal residence of the officer in order to secure the services or continued services of the officer and the loan is secured by real property located in the state.
----
Were da wurds too big fer lil' Caysey's brain?
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115 comments:
My god, that kid is an idiot. Sweet baby jesus, that kids a retard. By all that is holy, that kid is very, VERY stupid.
He talked to his CPA???? How the hell would the CPA know anything about criminal law in that regard?
Remember when that little fruitloop was all bent out of shape when he asked 'what advice he wasn't listening to'. I believe one of the items was 'talk to a good attorney'.
Keep 'em coming Casey. One more nail in the coffin that will send you to the slammer.
I can't believe I'm first to reply...... His site update is amazingly lame.... he trys to equate the 80/20 rule - but doesn't really get it.
People inthe real estate profession should be required toprove profeciency with an HP12c. The 80/20 bit isjust agrosssimplificationof long understood "normal" distribution in statistics. Casey can't balance a checkbook nevermind prioritize crticalpath constraints in a PERT chart.
I thought an 80/20 was a way to avoid paying PMI
LOL
So, did anyone sign up for his mail list?
I would, but quite honestly, I get enough spam as it is.
:>
Good one sharky. I never understood why peeps ever did dat sh!t. Cripes, the Homey's got me dioing it. Anyway, somebody explainwhy paying2% extra on a second saves money compared to a large first and impound insurance.
You call it a statute, but I call it a recommendation.
Does anyone think Casey was arrested months ago, agreed to rat on various parties in fraud, some dangerous, and has already made a deal to go, with amnesty, into witness protection after he testifies? It would explain his cavalier attitude, his deliberate trolling, and his apparent disengenuousity. He has to keep things rolling until it's all over and he disappears.
Plausible? Heh, heh.
Casey's latest post ends with a link to subscribe to his mailing list... soooo, I signed up Casey himself (casey@serin.us).
heh, hopefully he'll be getting his own spam now, and if he uses some time of web-bot to sell e-mail addresses, his own e-mail might well be added ;-)
OK, I was thinking about this today, maybe we have misunderstood Casey's latest scam to get corporate credit. I think we all agree that it would be almost impossible for Casey Corp to get unsecured credit, but could Casey Corp get a mortgage?
What if Casey Corp was to buy Casey's houses, at a generous profit to Casey of course. This would save the houses from foreclosure and give Casey the cash that he needs and the insolvent Casey Corp would be left holding the bag.
Now I'm sure doing this would be highly illegal, unethical and require more fraud on loan documents, but come on, has this ever stopped Casey before?
Well, L'il Spud Brain hid Sugar Daddy Duane from the public for months, so god knows he mighht have some other scammer whispering in his ear how to set up a Casey Corp scam - for a fee or percentage, of course.
It would be perfect justice, in a way, for a scammer to scam Spud Brain for a few shekels and leave L'il Wheatjuice Boy twisting in the wind.
It would be even better if it was one of the "haters" doing it. Half of the encouraging posts over there have to be people trolling him, to encourage more antics. I know the only reason I went there from Ben's Blog was I was bored, and was tempted to troll him too - it's just by the time I read half the posts I wanted to stake the little cretin to an ant hill in Death Valley.
Could someone explain the 20/80 thing, so we can know how much Spud Brain misunderstands it? I honestly have never heard of it, and I've heard all the MBA type stuff over the years, but I never ran across that one, I'm curious.
Here's a rundown on the 80/20 rule:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pareto_principle
I'll let others more knowledgeable than me decide if it's a good summary.
I'm guessing that mailing the short sale package didn't fall into our Snowflake's 20% of causes, but taking a nap did.
I edited the first two paragraphs of the Wikipedia article on Casey. Fleshed out a little more of his background and his scheme regarding the loan applications.
Also re-added Galina's birthdate, and added the fact that she was a party to some of the real estate deals, as various county records can attest to. Maybe someone can add a relevant footnote with a link to some documents/websites.
I think the "Recent Developments" section should be renamed "Timeline" or something, with bullet points for specific dates (i.e. 2/14/2007 -- Casey meets with CPA, etc etc); Casey's troubles with the NLL should not be a whole section, as it was a mere footnote to the story.
Just my opinion :-)
Rob Dawg, though normal distributions are well understood, they obviously aren't universally understood. Pareto has nothing to do with normal distributions.
Try not to pass yourself off as an expert in subjects that you know nothing about.
Since my comments predated the Pareto comments it's hardly fair the criticize my general comments because Pareto applies the same concept to specific instances. Sorry if mentioning plus one sigma events which cover 84.1% of normally distributed events came off as sounding like an expert. My stats prof used to grade papers with the score being something like number of test takers and the sd of the best score and your score. He graded on a curve and would raise you a full letter grade if you could tell him your existing grade.
"To be updated of any major moves signup up for my mailing list."
I think this line is actually quite alarming. I see it as the little bitch getting ready to go under the radar and make the run. He has proabably read Homey's post, and knows that someone knows about all his scams and can actually name names. He's gotta realize the noose is tightening.
Casey will sift thru the comments, advice, and guru books until he finds something that hewants to hear. Like that crap about how he is getting the big mistake out of the way first..why can't he also read that people who don't learn from their mistakes are doomed to repeat them? The guy is a walking brainwashing pep talk, and none of it is his own material.
I can only hope that the little prick is really being watched closely now, I hope to see him trying to flee with 100 dollars in his wallet, his jamba juice card, galina's valentine's gift which he hopes to pawn, and his turd of an automobile. I think all this opportunity bullshit is his last scam..to make it seem like things are going good for him now so he won't go on the lam. The guy HAS lied about everything else. My bet is he is gonna make a run for it.
What good things? He didn't spend time on business today because he's focused on hustling new investors and opportunities?
Wow, he must think we are all idiots. I bet he either overslept or was hanging at Jamba Juice.
The average investor goes through 3 BANKRUPTCIES?
How's this Casey? You can only file once every 7 years and even then that would not be a wise move.
Thank you for your steadfast support of the ACLU. Every day, I take heart that people like you all across the country are card-carrying ACLU members and today I’d very much like your help.
To meet the enormous challenges and opportunities we face in 2007, we are mounting an ambitious campaign to recruit 3,000 members over the next two weeks.
Because inspiration is contagious, what better way is there to recruit new members than to have loyal supporters -- like you -- express what it means to be an ACLU member? Millions of people share our love of the Bill of Rights and know in their hearts that safeguarding our fundamental freedoms is a never-ending job. I often wonder why so many of them are not card-carrying members of the ACLU.
So we’re turning to you to help us make the case. Please tell us, in your own words, why you are a card-carrying ACLU member.
@Rob Dawg
People who understand statistics will automatically realize that people who are referring to the 80/20 rule are talking about Pareto.
And because Pareto recognizes that heavy hitters have an undue influence, people who understand statistics would realize that the distribution of numbers that follow the Pareto rule are skewed, not normal.
If anybody has learned anything from watching thismess it is that no one is going do anything until they google casey serin. Page after page of his nefarious exploits. Might as well have a white stripe running down his black tail. Funny, EN doesn't show up.
Click on the link and you can see he is planning to abandon the iaff.com site.
I still want to know what kind of "investor" / "businessperson" wastes time on a looser who wouldn't know a sweet deal if it bit him in his ass.
He continues harping on his weak ability to deal with small details! An entrepreneur deals with NOTHING BUT the small crap.
What connections, Casey are wasting their time with you? Even your buddy Nigel is losing patience with you apparently.
How many supporters does he really have? 1? 3? 10? What the f--- is the 80/20 rule? I've heard about this but it sounds like more new agey mumbo jumbo. If you can't succeed the majority of the time, you will dig deeper and deeper holes THAT is the fact of life. Shoot, you prove that to me everyday.
Casey will never be an entrepreneur or investor. He has no freaking clue how to do anything but take a neat picture. Sorry, you are a failure and that is fact.
Rob, sign up with Feedburner. It will help the site show up more in Google.
Rob -- sorry, got to side with Anon on this one. If you had a set of data demonstrating the Pareto principle, it would more closely resemble the so-called "long tail" than it would a normal distribution curve.
Dolph what link?
I guess I feel about Casey like the Iraqui's felt about Saddam's kids, I want to see photographic proof that he is taken care of...
never mind got it..and was treated to the image of him sucking on that jamba juice again..agggghhh mine eyes!!!!
@Rob Dawg
One more thing, you stated:
"Sorry if mentioning plus one sigma events which cover 84.1% of normally distributed events came off as sounding like an expert."
Actually, that didn't make you sound like an expert. It makes you sound like a blow hard.
At least not to anyone with knowledge of the subject at hand.
There are two problems with that statement.
First of all, in a Gaussian (normal) distribution, 68.27% of observations will lie within +/- 1 standard deviation from the mean.
Secondly, note that it is +/- 1 sigma from the mean. Your 84.1% +1 sigma number is wrong. In a normal distribution, only half of the total observations will be above the mean.
Again, please try to stick to subjects you know something about.
Also, I should mention that I appreciate you providing this blog. While I can't stand innumeracy, and innumeracy masking as informed conversation is even worse, it is nice to have an unmoderated forum to discuss Casey.
Jesus Christ am I the only one here who thinks they have found nerdvana?
J/K guys take it easy....
Of course he's going to abandon it, it's of no use to him anymore. I think he realized what the folks over here are doing ruined that for him for good - what good is it to get eyeballs to the site, if the vast majority of them leave in disgust...or come over here?
From reading his de.li.cious links, he's been aiming at a money making blog for a while, even before he started IAFF - LONG before. He spent a lot of time going to blog sites, web design, PHP (there's his "skill"), networking sites, "guerilla marketing" sites, way before he started IAFF. He was also researching foreclosure long before he started IAFF, even linking foreclosure lawyers, and a LOT of links on liar loans and loan fraud.
He also links to messages and stories about him - a lot of other people hated him before he started IAFF, and I didnt even dig that deeply into those, yet. Seems he was spamming and annoying people for a while.
Hit hit all the hot spots - even the websites where people go to beg money. How to market to religious markets. L'il Casey was a busy little bee long before he started IAFF, and it clinches it for me that IAFF was for two things: to fleece people out of money by making up the persona he invented over there, and two, to try and create a defense if he got caught.
He was'nt counting on Homey, OGG, Heidi, Stephanie, Rob, you, and everyone else digging into his "story", and showing him for the fraud he is.
Please, someone smack me before I ever piss Homey off. Seriously.
For the first time in ages I posted to IAFF for the sake of the ACLU and thought it was interesting that the word I had to type was "twin" – and realized that he was my
Doppelganger – or Children of the Damned in a Project gone awry.
@legion
I thought when i saw "gaussian" they were talking about Photoshop...boy was I disapointed.
Sprezz, Anon,
I think we are the blind men describing the elephant. From the wiki the Pareto example is "20% of the customers generate 80% of the sales." All I'm saying is that isn't new or original just a specific example of what can be expected from aggregated independent events.
Dolph: The 80/20 Rule basically means that in a given situation, a small number of people or actions are the source of a large number of results or effects.
In the case of quality control, for example, it means that 80 percent of problems found are caused by 20 percent of the possible causes. So if you want to see a significant increase in the quality of a manufacturing process, you would focus your efforts on fixing the 20% of causes that cause the 80% of quality issues.
Does that help?
@Billy
Well when they said Sigma I was like "I think I saw that ship on the recent Battlestar Galactica!"
Billy & Legion -- sorry to sounds like a geek, I'm just thrilled I actually get to talk about some of the stuff I studied in school for a change!
Did anyone else get the word "twin" in the IAFF posting process?
Scientology sucks big time.
Yet another stinky, malicious, CUNT.
One more thing, you stated:
"Sorry if mentioning plus one sigma events which cover 84.1% of normally distributed events came off as sounding like an expert."
Actually, that didn't make you sound like an expert. It makes you sound like a blow hard.
You missed the point. I -didn't- say that. Didn't you notice? I said "The 80/20 bit isjust agrosssimplificationof long understood "normal" distribution in statistics." If I had gone all preachy with the 84.1% crap you'd been well and right to slap me down off my high horse.
At least not to anyone with knowledge of the subject at hand.
There are two problems with that statement.
First of all, in a Gaussian (normal) distribution, 68.27% of observations will lie within +/- 1 standard deviation from the mean.
I didn't say +/- 1 I said "plus one." Derive the area to the left of plus one, it is 84.1%.
Secondly, note that it is +/- 1 sigma from the mean. Your 84.1% +1 sigma number is wrong. In a normal distribution, only half of the total observations will be above the mean.
Well good for you. If only I had written what you wish I had written you'd have gotten the extra bit of credit for being smarter than me.
Again, please try to stick to subjects you know something about.
Good advice.
Also, I should mention that I appreciate you providing this blog. While I can't stand innumeracy, and innumeracy masking as informed conversation is even worse, it is nice to have an unmoderated forum to discuss Casey.
Correction, very lightly moderated.
another application is in computer science ... for most programs, approximately 80% of your time is spent in 20% of the code.
in prison, the 80 / 20 rule has several interpretations... which will be left to your imagination
Anon,
I'm with Rob Dawg on the 80/20 rule being yet another simple approximation of the normal distribution. 84.1 is the left half of the second standard deviation (68.27+half of the remaining tails 31.7/2 or 15.9--68.3+15.9 is pretty close to 84.1). That's pretty close to the 80% that Pareto observed being basically useless, while the 20 (everything to the right of 1 st deviation provides 80% of the output).
For those who've missed the 80/20 rule, it is in short, 80% of the output is attributable to 20% of the resources. It's not a perfect rule for everything, but a good enough approximation.
Hey Sprezz, I wasn't serious, but man, the last thing I want to remember is anything I learned in school.
By the way, Casey searching for how to tie a necktie was really pathetic.
Tying a necktie: four-in-hand knot save this
to howto tie necktie ... saved by 13 other people ... on july 01
Probably figured the media wouldn't look to kindly on his clip on.
Planning his trip to Hawaii, note the dates
THE beginning of his downfall
Equinaire :: Equity Based Millionaires save this
building wealth by buying and holding property
to realestate howto toblog readmore ... saved by 1 other person ... on oct 03, 2005
Resultsnow.com save this
to realestate resources howto books investors ... saved by 2 other people ... on aug 17, 2005
FlippingHomes.com save this
Real Estate Investing at Flipping Homes - Make Money Flipping Real Estate & Ugly Houses & Properties
to realestate investing howto wholesale rehab flipping SteveCook ... saved by 6 other people ... on aug 10, 2005
OK, time for silly del.icio.us games: here's a fun link from my own account there.
Anonymous said...
@Rob Dawg
Actually, that didn't make you sound like an expert. It makes you sound like a blow hard.
Yeah, because this doesn't make YOU sound like a blowhard?
At least not to anyone with knowledge of the subject at hand.
Put a sock in it already.
@T
"Put a sock in it already."
Heh heh, I thought the same thing but didn't want to be rude.
I saw on Casey's blog that Anon(the original stuffed shirt one) has once again 'graced us with his witty enlightened writing. I forgot how much I hate that guy. "Kudos, dear chum, kudos"
Arrrghhh, I beleive that bullshit english accent as much as I believe Casey. Pompus potificating prick.
Legion said...
Heh heh, I thought the same thing but didn't want to be rude.
Being kinda rude is part of my charm, no?
:)
Sorry to beat a dead horse, but the Pareto principle doesn't have anything to do with the normal distribution.
The normal distribution describes the distribution of random independent events. One of its main assumptions is that the events are independent of each other.
The Pareto principle states that most events are caused by a small subset of causes. For example, k% of events are caused by (100-k)% of causes, where k > 50.
The Pareto principle links causes to events, arguing that a small subset of causes are responsible for most events. Events that have a common cause are not independent, therefore events that obey the Pareto principle are not normally distributed.
Oh, good Lord, can we give the friggen Pareto principle a rest, for fuck's sake?
Where's my MigDreamy? He'd bring some sanity to this place with a swiftness.
lol @T
my thoughts exactly, but then again we kinda overdid it last night as well with the imagery, so I guess it's only fair:-)
That we did, Legion... that we did.
Nevermind, then.
Carry one with your Pareto nonsense, people.
@T
pertaining to 11:47 comment, not the migdreamy one..shee
Ah hell I'll join in...
So guys ahem, this Parrot thingy, does it talk?
Shit, it's getting late and I'm full o' typos.
Carry one = carry ON
Ugh. I suck.
G'night, Legion. Sleep well.
Legion said...
Ah hell I'll join in...
So guys ahem, this Parrot thingy, does it talk?
Actual LOL, you silly fuck.
later T
@Benoit
"I edited the first two paragraphs of the Wikipedia article on Casey. Fleshed out a little more of his background and his scheme regarding the loan applications."
If possible, you might want to make a small correction to his entry. It states
"To avoid lenders seeing that he had taken out multiple loans, he used a different lender for each property, and filled out the loan applications within a short time frame, so that the loans would not have sufficient time to appear on a credit check."
That's not correct. He mentioned in one of his entries that he used the same lender for the Utah property (the one that he messed up the wrap on, which still isn't fixed) and another property.
@Anonymous 12:34
Thanks, duly noted and changed. :-)
@Dolph:
Either I am slow or Casey has pulled the link, but I looked at IAFF and I don't see it.
judge dredd, the greatest comic
from 2001AD weekly
brings back memories!
stallone ruined it!
just like Casey ruined the idea of home ownership
we guarding:
---Casey searching for how to tie a necktie was really pathetic---
Aw, give Casey a break on that. I can't work the damn things either. I only wear one every few years at funerals, and I usually have to buy a new one because I can't find the old one, or it's all crumpled and moldy. I freelance at home, almost never actually have to see clients, so I don't need to maintain a wardrobe. Sweatpants and t-shirts all the way. I haven't put gas in the car since December. I have no debt - at all - and no impending criminal proesecutions. Casey could have had a life such as this...
I had to skip 80% of this thread because it was sucky and boring as hell. I spent the other 20% oif my time watching the brilliant RBI baseball Mets-Sox reenactment. "Little roller up along first...BEHIND THE BAG!"
I leave town for a few days and when I get back the skinny prick takes blog baiting to a new low. I'm getting to the point where I'm not even going to check his site.
I can't figure out what his "game" is anymore. Oh well, f*uck him.
BTW, where's Sputnik and Ogg?
They pop in here and there but only when things get interesting as they did when he posted that ridiculous new comment about not sending in th short sale package. I hope they auction that house this afternoon.
Ain't this the lawyers that Homey pointed out?
Looks like they're up early!
http://www.sitemeter.com/?a=stats&s=s27iamfacingforeclosurecom&v=52&r=9&vlr=89&pg=21&d=216
He's at it again is he..?
Can't wait to see if he'll ever send out the short sale packet - if I were a betting man I'd say no.
Casey reminds me of a boss I used to have. He was the worst boss ever and was only my boss because he started banging the president of the company (a woman 32 years his senior) when he was a poor Greek immigrant in his 20's with no direction, stock boy in the warehouse. I digress. The thing which made him the most ineffective leader was his utter lack of decision making ability and execution. He talked as big a game as anyone ever could, but when it came time to do it, he couldn't make a single decision. He was frozen solid at the knees - like a deer in headlights. And in business, and life in general, he taught me that when you don't make decisions, other people will make the decision for you. And furthermore, they will typically choose the decision which is less advantageous to you.
So Casey, if you are reading this (and not that you would listen anyway) please understand that when you avoid making a decision like "Do I go to Fedex and send the Short Sale packet and potentially save the house from foreclosure, ORRRRRRR do I take another nap with my lazy wife?" The decisions will be made FOR you. While you're spinning your wheels (shuffling papers on your desk, reorganizing your office) other people are making financial decisions about your future.
Casey is a failing forward fish story. A couple of months ago, he claimed that most successful entrepreneurs have a BK in their past. Now, he claims they have three. Next, he'll be claiming that in order to make it in business, you have to go to jail and get pounded by Bubba for 6 months.
Since no one address the 80/20 mortgage question and PMI, I'll try to do it.
You have to run the numbers to see which works best.
300k loan:
80% = 240000 @ 6.75 = 1556
20% = 60000 @ 8.75 = 472
Total = 2028
100% = 300000 @ 6.75 = 1945
PMI on 100% loan of 300k = 175 (prob more)
Total = 2120
However, if you are in a fast appreciating area and your property goes to 375k, or you intend to pay the balance down, you could petition the lender to remove the PMI after 1 year normally, assuming your existing loan to value is 80% or lower at that time.
@ Tony Soprano,
I saw this morning Countrwide, HSBC, Wells Fargo, US Treasury, and several large law firms viewed Casey's site.
I would not be surprised if there is a flood of faxes, emails,and phone calls going on between all of these entities. Each one of them will want their chance to pick apart Casey and Galina in court. They all need to coordinate their respective plans of attack.
I get a feeling that the phone at the Special Master will be ringing of the hook today. LOL
Where is Heidi? She needs to get in on this action.
Hey Rob - I have an idea for a new post. List the comment Casey made where you finally had ENOUGH.
Good Morning Early Riser!!!
Did you see who took a looky look at your website today?
Dum-dee-dum-dum
Domain Name (Unknown)
IP Address 207.66.18.# (City of Rio Rancho)
ISP Oso Grande Technologies
Location
Continent : North America
Country : United States (Facts)
State : New Mexico
City : Rio Rancho
Hey guys - I love to beat a dead horse. I agree that the Pareto is not a normal distribution. I'm sure there are many ways to use it, but for SPC functions and trouble shooting, you would categorize your problems and then sort. You would then find that 80% of your issues are in 20% of your categories. It helps you pinpoint where to efficiently start fixing what is broken.
My .02.
Can anyone explain the Res-com scam Homey keeps mentioning?
Jim - I was wondering the same thing about res-com. What IS res-com?
Man, the city of Rio Rancho is at work early!
I sure hope you guys are still around if Casey bolts. I HAVE to know what happens (before an intervention). I admit I am a lurker and and addict to Caseys shinanigans. I come here for my fix everyday.
-magyar lany
This sitemeter is addictive!
hehe
Domain Name (Unknown)
IP Address 209.178.222.# (Parsippany Police)
ISP Wave2Wave Communications
Location Continent : North America
Country : United States (Facts)
State : New Jersey
City : Parsippany
Lat/Long : 40.8597, -74.4026 (Map)
Language English (United
Sorry I'm late to the geek party... I ran a Six Sigma program at a company and know all about this geeky stuff. It's a cult when you get deep into it and after reading about Casey I started to feel a bit like one of these cult seminar junkies. For example, we need the CPk of this process... gotta get a jamba juice.
So I always thought net worth would be a single tailed distribution with one end point at zero $$$. But Casey has shown it's clearly a double tailed distribution and he is probably -5 sigma from the average net worth of the typical American.
Congratulations, Casey!
-Big Cheese
Fuck! Here come the black helecopters buddy...
Domain Name pentagon.mil ? (Military)
IP Address 140.185.55.# (The Pentagon)
ISP The Pentagon
Location Continent : North America
Country : United States (Facts)
State : Virginia
City : Alexandria
Lat/Long : 38.7909, -77.0947 (Map)
That's silly. The Pentagon is in Arlington, not Alexandria.
@ Big Cheese
I can assure you without calculations that his CPk is showing that his process is way off center. I'm thinking 100% fallout here.
@Jade 7:41
This is the only reference to Res-com I have seen. Not sure if there is anything else. Casey is mentioned in this rambling incoherent screed.
ripoff reports
@ Jade
That's where THEY want YOU to think the Pentagon is! THEY don't want YOU to know about the new SUPER SECRET hexagonally shaped Pentagon built deep underground in Alexandria!! They moved it BEFORE 9-11!!! THEY KNEW, OMG!!!!!!
@meh -
That made my head hurt. I still can't figure out what it is.
ok so here's what res-com environmental is:
http://rescom.cc/
apparently some scam home inspector certification. The complaint said Casey worked there.
So.
Casey Serin + Scam home inspector licensing...hmmmmmmmmmmmm
This latest post is just the normal 'moment of unjustified optimism' that Casey gets before he starts making another set of rash, stupid decisions. He's done it a few times since September. He'll also post a 'I'm low, and depressed, woe is me' blurb soon when he realizes the depth of his stupidity.
Jim,
Sweeet- another Six Sigma geek to talk to... how many Sigmas is Casey below the mean if we tested him for IQ?
-Big Cheese
Oh, this is good
Domain Name hud.gov ? (United States Government)
IP Address 170.97.67.# (Department of Housing and Urban Development)
ISP Department of Housing and Urban Development
Location Continent : North America
Country : United States (Facts)
State : District of Columbia
City : Washington
Lat/Long : 38.8933, -77.0146 (Map)
Stephanie: that's pretty much how I read it too.
Casey sees the $250 as a sweet real-estate deal; it validates him because look, he made some money on this property!
And to reward himself for pulling it off, he's spent the day indulging himself in his tycoon fantasy. Setbacks are just learning opportunities; if he can just learn enough he can make it big. And why wouldn't he make it big when opportunities like the $250 just fall into his lap? It's kinda magical. Lenders will fall over themselves to extend credit to his shady off-the-shelf shell corporation. And owners of apartment complexes with good net cashflow and no tenant or maintenance issues will fall over themselves to sell to him at knockdown prices.
It's all good. $250 is just the start. He's not circling the drain; he's failing forward.
Oh, and I have a theory on why he's procrastinating on the short sale packet.
He's told us that the $380K offer is from the same person that bought his redemption rights.
If the buyer buys at short sale, Casey gets nothing but a tax liability. (That $10K deposit is the bank's, not Casey's.)
If the buyer redeems after foreclosure, Casey gets $1250.
What's in it for Casey if the short sale occurs? One fewer foreclosure on his record; but as a commenter noted, that cherry's already popped.
Cash in hand is much, much more important to Casey now than repaying any dirty pennies.
Sid:
Just click on the link about the mailing list. Then you will see the sign up page.
His note says this:
"It's been UNBELIEVABLE so far but there is More to Come! Join my Mailing List for Important Announcements and Occasional Updates: "
I read this as a guy who is planning to go underground. Why no announcements or updates on the public blog?
Thanks Sprezz. Makes sense now.
@ Big Cheese
I think the same set up you used to calculate net worth would easily translate to IQ as well.
At 11:47 PM, T said...
Oh, good Lord, can we give the friggen Pareto principle a rest, for fuck's sake?
Ahmen to that. It's just another business fad that doesn't even hold water. The 20/80 worked in Italy at the time Pareto looked at it, but if he were there in the 12th centry it be more like .5/100, and in the US it's currently around 2/90. I shudder at some of the meetings I was in that make the "pointy-hair boss" in Dilbert look intelligent. Nothing, but a huge stream of business double-speak about the lattest fad they've picked up at last week's seminar.
Speaking of business shams,I'm just waiting for business to deep six the quality fads of Six Sigma, CMM, and ISO. Anyone who dealt with Home Depot during Nardelli's reign could tell you how well Six Sigma worked, unless poor customer service is suppose to be the hallmark of this joke. CMM is trying to convince you that some Indian software firm you never heard of is far better than MS, IBM, or CA (well, that may be true ;-)). While ISO is trying to tell you that you POS car is of the highest quality - which if it breaks down exactly as per the specs it is.
@ Rec Obs
My .02. I wouldn't compare Six Sigma with ISO. And for what it's worth Six Sigma is only going to be as successful as its implementation. It has done quite well in post WWII Japan.
@Jim,
true Six Sigma isn't the same species, but it's the same family. It's funny that you mention the Japanse firms*. One of them was in a GM-Suzuki partnership that tried to use the Japanese team concept. It may come as a big surprise, but it didn't translate very well on the assembly lines here, and was abandoned after a few years.
*Oddly enough, it was an American that sold the Japanese on the concepts they use.
Oops deleted the original line by mistake.
Should read. I've worked a few stints with foreign firms, one of them.
All the hits on KC's website from various government agencies are interesting, but may not mean anything necessarily. Why would the Pentagon have an interest in KC? It's probably just bureaucrats surfing the web when they are supposed to be working.
Large organizations have very mature web usage policies. If the IP browsing is truly "casual" then it is for the higher, more trusted, more powerful staffers. That's just as bad as if the GS-8 were acting under instructions.
Quite often you'll see IPs being hopped among associated agencies depending on volume and such. Casey should be thinking clean underwear and small bills with a plan to give the credit cards to a bum with instructions to head in the other direction and try to use them. "Run Casey, Run!"
@ Rec Obs
Do you mean Deming? Yep - I'd attribute the success of six sigma in Japan mostly to him. I definitely agree with your comment - it does not always translate well with American companies and I think one of the reasons why he went over there in the first place.
Rob, good thought re: Web access in these organizations. I honestly don't know if low-level grunts in these places could access IAFF.com I think most big companies *would* allow it: Casual web-surfing at work is a big problem at many private employers.
The thing to figure out is, are the number of "hits" coming from these places out of proportion to the rest of the online community.
I doubt this one is casual browsing, hehe
Domain Name (Unknown)
IP Address 63.166.226.# (COUNTRYWIDE HOME LOANS)
ISP Sprint
Location Continent : North America
Country : United States (Facts)
State : California
City : Simi Valley
Lat/Long : 34.2521, -118.7843 (Map)
Language English (United States)
en-us
Operating System Microsoft Win2000
Browser Firefox 2.0
Mozilla/5.0 (Windows; U; Windows NT 5.0; en-US; rv:1.8.1.1) Gecko/20061204 Firefox/2.0.0.1
Javascript version 1.5
Monitor Resolution : 1280 x 1024
Color Depth : 16 bits
Time of Visit Feb 16 2007 11:04:03 am
I've seen those I[s from government agencies, I did notcie that some of them appeared them disappeared in seconds. What does that tell me? Web site rip, or taking snapshots of a website for evidence later.
Casey has seen the posts, he knows the web of lies is falling apart around him, his own friends are starting to ditch him (cept Nigel who I thought had made the turn, I think he and Casey are joined for life), and he knows that all it takes is one 'friend' to rat him out and then they all will. If I was the guy that lent him the 3K months ago, then proceeded to wath Casey buy a POS car, go on more trips, seminars, Valentines bullshit, without being paid 1 damn penny, I'd be pretty pissed. I mean hell, CAsey doesn't owe me any money and I'm mad as hell.
bill from pvb,
I have a hard enough time controlling my own casual web surfing. It is surely a seductive rabbit hole. I'm "researching a state-of-the-aret hydrothreapy medical facility for the palace." Alright I'm reading recylcler.com looking for a used hot tub for the back yard. 34 clicks later I'm reading manufacturer specs in pdf for 220v/110v conversion wiring. Addicting.
Lots of Law Firms I notice
Domain Name daklaw.com ? (Commercial)
IP Address 63.207.250.# (Dowling, Aaron & Keeler)
ISP SBC Internet Services
Location Continent : North America
Country : United States (Facts)
State : California
City : Fresno
Lat/Long : 36.8194, -119.7586 (Map)
Language English (United States)
en-us
Operating System Microsoft WinXP
Browser Internet Explorer 6.0
Mozilla/4.0 (compatible; MSIE 6.0; Windows NT 5.1; SV1; .NET CLR 1.1.4322; .NET CLR 2.0.50727; InfoPath.1)
Javascript version 1.3
Monitor Resolution : 1024 x 768
Color Depth : 32 bits
Time of Visit Feb 16 2007 11:09:54 am
lol....I wonder what they want?
Domain Name (Unknown)
IP Address 198.134.51.# (Ernst and Young LLP)
ISP Ernst and Young LLP
Location Continent : North America
Country : United States (Facts)
State : New Jersey
City : Lyndhurst
Lat/Long : 40.7923, -74.1001 (Map)
Language English (United States)
en-us
Operating System Microsoft WinXP
Browser Internet Explorer 6.0
Mozilla/4.0 (compatible; MSIE 6.0; Windows NT 5.1; SV1; .NET CLR 1.1.4322; InfoPath.1; .NET CLR 2.0.50727)
Javascript version 1.3
Monitor Resolution : 1024 x 768
Color Depth : 32 bits
Time of Visit Feb 16 2007 11:09:03 am
Looks like cons trying to con a con! Maybe they want to sell him one more????
Domain Name (Unknown)
IP Address 65.216.96.# (KB Home)
ISP UUNET Technologies
Location Continent : North America
Country : United States (Facts)
State : Maine
City : Sanford
Lat/Long : 43.4042, -70.7455 (Map)
Language English (United States)
en-us
Operating System Microsoft WinXP
Browser Internet Explorer 6.0
Mozilla/4.0 (compatible; MSIE 6.0; Windows NT 5.1; SV1; .NET CLR 1.1.4322; InfoPath.1)
Javascript version 1.3
Monitor Resolution : 1024 x 768
Color Depth : 32 bits
Time of Visit Feb 16 2007 11:15:35 am
Now here is someone slacking on our dime..
Domain Name noaa.gov ? (United States Government)
IP Address 140.90.236.# (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration)
ISP National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Location Continent : North America
Country : United States (Facts)
State : Maryland
City : Bowie
Lat/Long : 38.9576, -76.7566 (Map)
Language English (United States)
en-us
Operating System Microsoft WinXP
Browser Internet Explorer 6.0
Mozilla/4.0 (compatible; MSIE 6.0; Windows NT 5.1; SV1; .NET CLR 1.1.4322)
Javascript version 1.3
Monitor Resolution : 1024 x 768
Color Depth : 32 bits
Time of Visit Feb 16 2007 11:17:14 am
Planning a raid maybe???
Domain Name cityofsacramento.org ? (Organization)
IP Address 206.170.173.# (City of Sacramento, ICS Dept.)
ISP SBC Internet Services
Location Continent : North America
Country : United States (Facts)
State : California
City : Sacramento
Lat/Long : 38.5831, -121.4921 (Map)
Language English (United States)
en-us
Operating System Microsoft WinXP
Browser Internet Explorer 6.0
Mozilla/4.0 (compatible; MSIE 6.0; Windows NT 5.1; SV1; .NET CLR 1.1.4322; .NET CLR 2.0.50727)
Javascript version 1.3
Monitor Resolution : 1280 x 1024
Color Depth : 32 bits
Time of Visit Feb 16 2007 11:20:11 am
In spite of my comment above, if I were KC I would be *really* worried about an FBI "hit" on the site. Casual or not, if the browsing agent sees something really incriminating, I'm sure the "hit" would go from casual to formal in a real hurry. I would say that FBI and IRS have a genuine interest in KC. Treasury Dept. and INS are "maybes". Army and USAF, not likely.
OOPS... I forgot. IRS *is* part of DOT. My bad....
Here is a winner maybe!
Domain Name (Unknown)
IP Address 199.173.225.# (Social Security Administration)
ISP UUNET Technologies
Location Continent : North America
Country : United States (Facts)
State : Maryland
City : Baltimore
Lat/Long : 39.2847, -76.6205 (Map)
Language English (United States)
en-us
Operating System Microsoft WinXP
Browser Internet Explorer 6.0
Mozilla/4.0 (compatible; MSIE 6.0; Windows NT 5.1; SV1; IE6SP1; .NET CLR 1.0.3705; .NET CLR 1.1.4322; InfoPath.1)
Javascript version 1.3
Monitor Resolution : 1280 x 1024
Color Depth : 32 bits
Time of Visit Feb 16 2007 11:51:42 am
uh-oh.......
Domain Name (Unknown)
IP Address 198.81.129.# (Central Intelligence Agency)
ISP ANS Communications
Location Continent : North America
Country : United States (Facts)
State : District of Columbia
City : Washington
Lat/Long : 38.8933, -77.0146 (Map)
Language English (United States)
en-us
Operating System Microsoft WinXP
Browser Internet Explorer 6.0
Mozilla/4.0 (compatible; MSIE 6.0; Windows NT 5.1; SV1; .NET CLR 1.0.3705; .NET CLR 1.1.4322; InfoPath.1)
Javascript version 1.3
Monitor Resolution : 1024 x 768
Color Depth : 32 bits
Time of Visit Feb 16 2007 11:52:37 am
We need to start a pool on when Casey shuts down his blog and starts running (AKA "goes under the radar").
He is obviously gearing up for this...
RUN CASEY RUN!!!!
OOPS... I forgot. IRS *is* part of DOT. My bad....
DOJ, DOJ not DOT.
My Bad(2)
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